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Purchasing books at Amazon.com is trivial, unless the book you=re
trying to purchase is one you wrote and illustrated, and you want a production
run of 10 or less. The existing computing infrastructure is pretty good
at logistics: handling piles of manufactured goods, fungible commodities,
and related issues of transportation and financial accounting. It still
has a ways to go if the product you want is something you have to design.
Purchasing furniture over the web is a classic example. The items shown
are typically standard sizes, such as a dining room table, bookcase, or
couch. In theory, it should be possible to change the dimensions, but this
moves rapidly to >custom= furniture manufacturing, which is not an >out
of box= experience. Custom manufacturing might be as simple as selecting
height, width, and depth for bookcases, or as difficult as a hand drawn
entertainment center for your new 80" flat-screen TV.
Followed to it=s natural conclusion, order-entry websites are fundamentally
Computer Aided Design (CAD) systems, and CAD systems are fundamentally
order entry systems. If you are designing a boxcar with a CAD system one
assumes that plenty of sheet metal and steel beams will be purchased in
the realization of the actual product. If you aren’t actually going to
make one, then obviously you are working for Hollywood or Madison Ave.
Working in Corel Draw, Adobe Illustrator, or Microsoft Visio is not
all that unreasonable for most people, although the latter starts getting
into CAD which is an area many people find difficult. Such programs cost
from $400 to $999, so while not cheap they are >reasonable= for people
who are graphics artists or other geniuses. AutoCAD and Solid Edge, however,
are fundamentally 3D systems and are priced to match, running anywhere
from $3500 to $5000 - before the special add-on modules for particular
industries. The combination of price and difficulty makes this a domain
for experienced professionals.
Ikea has a kitchen designer one can download for arranging cabinets
and appliances, and it has prices which are >current= until about three
months from the download date. This system can render views in 3-D, so
that the buyer can walk around in their kitchen. She won=t, however, be
feeling the heat.
eMachineshop.com is a great site for punching out cookie cutters.
It bills itself as a place where mere mortals can design parts and have
them made, presumably for their battlebots. The user downloads a design
program, and then draws what they want. The drawing application includes
price estimation. One clicks >submit= and off it goes, along with (depending
on what you=re doing) your life savings.
Designing a kitchen with predefined components and designing at the
part level are one thing, but real design is the integration of many levels
of subassembly. People like the idea of sketching their dream house, but
the devil is in the details, and there are jillions of those. One is reminded
that people get paid to keep track of that stuff, and you can see why it
turns into a profession.
So far, I haven=t seen a homebuilding website where you can lay out
a floor plan, select from various architectural styles, get a rendering
of the home in a 3-D walk around, and get a construction estimate. A search
on Google lists plenty of custom home builders, and plenty of completed
plans for sale, but nothing in the way of >design it yourself= on the spot.
There are CD/disk based design programs available for dirt cheap, but a
custom homebuilder doesn’t host them.
Most of my friends that have built houses have started out throwing
in the kitchen sink, or perhaps more precisely the wainscoting, upper and
lower decks, ionic columns running the length of the front porch, and hot
tub. After this is said and done, the price turns out to be $250K over
budget, so what ends up getting built is a vast amount of space enclosed
in off-white sheetrock. Even the three-car garage idea is abandoned.
Designing something like this hosted out of a builder=s website would
probably be asking for trouble, since they would periodically remind you
that mortgage rates are below 6%,... for right now. The only builder that
could afford to host something like this would have to be building thousands
of homes. That might describe tract house developments, but this is a bit
distant from fully custom homes.
It should be possible to use the 3D Cad systems, in some form, over
the web, hosted by people who hope to snag your business. This is probably
a reach for the CAD companies, who have a hard enough time supporting people
that are formally trained in their software. This reflects back on the
user, who is lucky to print out a holiday card with a border of colored
lights.
The user mindset is to buy the most customizable product available >off
the shelf=. Don=t complicate the discussion with an excess of questions:
just read my mind. This gets progressively more difficult as interface
menus and physical space separate the buyer and the vendor.
We notice that Wal-Marts and other big-box retailers seem to be replacing
really huge stores with giant stores. C-5A aircraft hangars are, in comparison,
not affected by the curvature of the earth. Despite this, we still can’t
find any good socks, although the Harley under shorts are a scream. Store
size becomes a function of differentiation: first you have shelves, then
you have steel shelves, wire shelves, plastic shelves, glass-top shelves,
white plastic shelves, tan plastic 18" ventilated shelves, and so on. All
these >choices= occupy volume.
It=s bewildering to filter down through hundreds of thousands of potential
choices through a browser. However, the physical store is now the same
experience, with the addition of sore feet.
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